Initial Guidance | 26 June 2015

● US consumer spending in May posted its biggest increase in six years while personal income perked up to its strongest advance in 14 months…
● Meanwhile, US initial jobless claims remained below the 300,000 mark for a 16th week…
● The revival in consumer spending “portends well for second-quarter growth and the broader momentum of economic activity in the second half of the year, and keeps the prospect of a September rate hike squarely on the table,” said Anthony Karydakis, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak…
● Even the recently slumping Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index made a positive U-turn, delivering its biggest gain for last week’s reading since April.
● On a relatively weak note among yesterday’s updates, Markit’s US Services PMI posted a slower growth rate at the end of Q2
● Nonetheless, the Q2 GDP outlook improved a bit: the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate ticked up to 2.1% in yesterday’s update–the model’s highest Q2 forecast to date.

gdpnow.26jun2015