The US stock market is struggling this year, but the low-volatility equity risk premium is still outperforming by a wide margin year to date, based on a set of ETFs through Tuesday’s close (Mar. 25). The solid increase for the risk premium so far in 2025 is especially stark compared with the modest loss for stocks overall.
Daily Archives: March 26, 2025
Macro Briefing: 26 March 2025
US Consumer Confidence Index fell in March for a fourth straight month. The latest decline marks a drop below “the relatively narrow range that had prevailed since 2022,” said Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist at The Conference Board. “Of the Index’s five components, only consumers’ assessment of present labor market conditions improved, albeit slightly. Views of current business conditions weakened to close to neutral. Consumers’ expectations were especially gloomy, with pessimism about future business conditions deepening and confidence about future employment prospects falling to a 12-year low.”