When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. But this time has been different, or so it seems. The curve has been inverted since July 2022, the longest inversion on record, but a recession has yet to arrive.

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* US should join with Europe to combat cheap Chinese exports: Yellen
* Target announces price cuts on 5,000 items
* Electricity grid under strain from growing use of AI
* There’s no “urgency” to adjust interest rates, says SF Fed president
* China is a key factor driving the rally in gold:

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