Daily Archives: November 8, 2022

Hedging Interest Rate Risk With Real And Nominal Treasury Yields

Update: the analysis below implies that summing two Treasury yields allows you to earn the summed yield. In fact, that’s not possible. Rather, the point of the article is that summing the two yields offers a timing signal for identifying relatively high payout rates for a strategy of holding a 50-50 mix of TIPS and conventional Treasuries. Apologies for any confusion. –JP

The recent rise in real yields for inflation-indexed Treasuries (TIPS) looks compelling for locking in relatively attractive payout rates, but the usual risks with bonds still applies. That inspires looking at a somewhat unorthodox strategy of holding TIPS and conventional Treasuries as a hedging strategy.

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Macro Briefing: 8 November 2022

* Florida’s east coast braces for Tropical Storm Nicole
* Republicans expecting to win back power in Congress after today’s elections
* UN chief outlines stark choice for nations at COP27 climate summit
* China’s Covid controls are still creating headwinds for the economy
* Covid continues to take a toll on US workforce
* Soft landing is still possible for US economy, advises Goldman Sachs
* Consumer confidence in the housing market falls to new low
* US stocks “have always gained a year after midterms” since 1950: LPL Research:

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