Daily Archives: May 21, 2019

US Business Cycle Risk Report | 21 May 2019

Recent economic data is clouding the outlook for the US macro trend. Although a recession hasn’t started and isn’t likely to begin in the immediate future, several key indicators suggest that output is slowing and so uncertainty is rising for the second half of the year.

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Macro Briefing: 21 May 2019

Federal judge rules Trump must give financial records to House: Fox
House Dem leaders spar on whether to move forward with impeachment: The Hill
Iran dramatically increases production of uranium: Reuters
US slows hiring of Chinese nationals for semiconductor firms: WSJ
Fed Chair Powell: rising corp debt isn’t a threat, at least not yet: CNBC
Will China ban rare-earth elements that are critical for tech industry? Stratfor
Emerging markets bearing brunt of escalating US-China trade war: CNBC
Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index (3mo avg) fell to 3-year low in April: