US industrial production is expected to remain unchanged in tomorrow’s February report vs. the previous month, according to The Capital Spectator’s average point forecast for several econometric estimates. The prediction reflects a sharp deceleration after the previous month’s strong increase.
Continue reading
Daily Archives: March 15, 2016
US Housing Starts: February 2016 Preview
Housing starts are expected to total 1.126 million units (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in tomorrow’s February update, according to The Capital Spectator’s average point forecast of several econometric estimates. The projection represents a moderate increase over the previous month’s level of residential construction activity.
Continue reading
US Retail Spending Dips In Feb As Annual Growth Inches Higher
Retail sales eased 0.1% in February and a previously reported gain for January was revised down to a 0.4% loss, according to this morning’s update from the Census Bureau. Is the slide a sign of trouble for the consumer sector? Maybe, although looking through the short-term noise via the year-over-year trend still looks encouraging.
Continue reading
Buy & Hold Can Be Risky, Too
Holding stocks for the long run has obvious appeal. The historical record shows that if you simply ignore the short-term noise and focus on the next 10 or 20 years, you’ll do fine, and perhaps substantially better than fine. The big risk is that you chicken out midway through the next period of subpar performance.
Continue reading
Initial Guidance | 15 March 2016
● Mobius Sees Emg Mkts at Turning Point After Rout | Bloomberg
● Did China’s boom hurt the US economy? | TheMoneyIllusion
● Europe may still be stuck in a liquidity trap | BI
● Blackrock: Markets face headwinds from central banks | CNBC
● The Era of Free Trade Might Be Over. That’s a Good Thing | NY Times
● Eurozone industrial output rises 2.1% on Ireland surge | BBC
● Labor Protests Multiply in China as Economy Slows, Worrying Leaders | NY Times