Daily Archives: December 10, 2015

US Retail Sales: November 2015 Preview

US retail sales are expected to increase 0.3% in tomorrow’s November report vs. the previous month, according to The Capital Spectator’s average point forecast for several econometric estimates. The average prediction reflects a moderate improvement in growth over the previous month’s sluggish gain.
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Higher Treasury Yields Point To A Rate Hike Next Week

The case for raising interest rates is wobbly at best, but the Federal Reserve may start the squeezing process at its monetary policy meeting next week. Exhibit A for the hawkish view is the encouraging rise in nonfarm payrolls in October and November. The problem is that there’s no shortage of data that paints a softer profile, including the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model, which is currently projecting (as of Dec. 4) a tepid 1.5% rise in US GDP for the fourth quarter.
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