There’s a mildly improving case for thinking that the recent slowdown in economic growth really was a temporary affair due to a harsh winter rather than a deeper cyclical problem. Yes, that’s an assessment that’s still evolving and so it’s premature to say anything definitive at this point. The outlook, as always, is subject to change, depending on what we see in the incoming data. But the limited set of March numbers published to date look encouraging.
Continue reading