The Capital Spectator publishes two newsletters:

The ETF Portfolio Strategist (ETF-PS) is published at: etfps.substack.com The newsletter’s focus is quantifying trending behavior for ETFs. For details on the methodology, see this summary.

The US Business Cycle Risk Report (US-BCRR) is published at: usbcrr.substack.com  The newsletter monitors and evaluates recession risk for the United States, based on a methodology outlined in Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks. US-BCRR’s econometric framework analyzes a broad set of economic and financial indicators to estimate the probability that an NBER-defined recession has started or is imminent. Subscribers also receive receive monthly updates of The US Inflation Trend Chartbook.